Draw
|
Draw
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
1
|
15
|
1
|
7%
|
4
|
27%
|
5
|
33%
|
|
2
|
17
|
3
|
18%
|
1
|
6%
|
4
|
24%
|
|
3
|
16
|
1
|
6%
|
4
|
25%
|
5
|
31%
|
|
4
|
16
|
1
|
6%
|
1
|
6%
|
2
|
13%
|
|
5
|
16
|
6
|
38%
|
0
|
0%
|
6
|
38%
|
|
6
|
15
|
0
|
0%
|
6
|
40%
|
6
|
40%
|
We'll be looking out for horses drawn in stalls 2, 5 and 6.
Place Last Time
Out
|
Place LTO
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
First
|
33
|
7
|
21%
|
10
|
30%
|
17
|
52%
|
|
Second
|
26
|
5
|
19%
|
6
|
23%
|
11
|
42%
|
|
Third
|
13
|
2
|
15%
|
1
|
8%
|
3
|
23%
|
|
Sixth
|
4
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
The most successful horses in the past have been those which
finished in the top 2 on their last outing, so we're going to give points to
those horses.
Market Positions
|
Mrkt Pos
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
1
|
18
|
9
|
50%
|
3
|
17%
|
12
|
67%
|
|
2
|
16
|
3
|
19%
|
10
|
63%
|
13
|
81%
|
|
3
|
18
|
2
|
11%
|
4
|
22%
|
6
|
33%
|
|
4
|
19
|
3
|
16%
|
2
|
11%
|
5
|
26%
|
|
5
|
13
|
0
|
0%
|
2
|
15%
|
2
|
15%
|
|
6
|
14
|
0
|
0%
|
1
|
7%
|
1
|
7%
|
We'll be focusing on the top 2 in the market.
Recent Form
10 of the last 10 winners had run at least twice that season
All of this year’s
runners fit this trend
9 of the last 10 winners had run in a group 1 race last time
out
Arod doesn’t fit this
trend
9 of the last 10 winners were group 1 winners
Telescope, Arod and
Kingfisher don’t fit this trend
8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
All of this year’s
runners fit this trend
8 of the last 10 winners had won over 1m 2f
Australia doesn’t fit
this trend
The Big Table
|
Horse
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
Total
|
|
Mukhadram
|
No
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
Telescope
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
7
|
|
Arod
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
4
|
|
Australia
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
7
|
|
Kingfisher
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
The Grey Gatsby
|
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
6
|
So, we have our shortlist:
1.
Telescope 11/2, Australia 8/13 – 7
2.
The Grey Gatsby 14/1 – 6
And, with joint winners at low prices, this is a no-bet race
for us.
