Lexus Chase Each-Way Tip

Judging by today's profiles for the Lexus Chase, there's one horse which stands out as running in his prime conditions today, and he's an outside chance in this fiercely competitive Lexus Chase which features some of the best staying chasers around.

First Lieutenant was last seen when making a disappointing comeback when 4th in the Grade 1 JNwine.com Champion Chase, behind Boston Bob (3rd) and Road To Riches (1st) but ahead of On His Own (6th). However, I'm not sure that one bad run warrants such an outsider status today, where he's 16/1 in what is admittedly a fiercely competitive race. His final run of last season was in the Punchestown Gold Cup when he ran a great race to chase home Boston Bob in 2nd.

Based on his profile, we've made the following notes, which show him as being the best fit for the race (of course, everyone will take different things and different horses from the data and information available in the individual profiles and notes, but this is what we've finished up with).

First Lieutenant has a strong record of Leopardstown with a win and 3 places from 5 starts there. In the trends, his 3 problems were that he hasn’t run in the last 40 days (it’s been 57), he wasn’t in the top 3 last time out (he was 4th) and he’s a 9yo. From his profile we can see that we want good to soft, good to yielding, soft, soft to heavy, or heavy ground. We also want DJ Casey, Bryan Cooper or Mr RP McNamara riding, a field of 8 or more, less than 30 or 61-90 days off before the race, the race to be in December or March, and the track to be left-handed. The going is soft to heavy, B T O’Connell rides, the field is 10, it’s been 57 days since he ran, it is December and it is left-handed. Therefore, we got 5 of the 6 mentioned factors.
Of those he missed , BT O’Connell has never ridden him before, which we can't really fault him for.

So, at 16/1, First Lieutenant is our each-way bet in the Lexus.

FIRST LIEUTENANT E/W 16/1