Tuesday, 25 March 2014

Grand National Initial Ratings

So, it won't be too long until the 2014 Aintree Grand National and the year's biggest betting event. Run over 4m 4f with the toughest jumps in racing (or at least, they used to be), and with 40 horses competing every year, the race can be a nightmare to try to analyse, and a lottery when it takes place.

Due to the sheer amount of horses participating (it's currently only narrowed down to around 70), it can be extremely difficult to carry out analysis of the race. Doing so is painstakingly slow and so the majority of our analysis will come after the field has been narrowed a bit more. However, we have already rated the horses still in the race based on whether or not they fit the profile of a National winner. It should be noted that this is based on more of a statistical viewpoint than an examination on the talent of the horses - that will come later. Also, I'd like to stress that they're called initial ratings because a lot will change between now and Grand National day.

Here are the initial ratings in descending order:

94 Godsmejudge 
94 Raz De Maree 
91 Burton Port 
91 Pineau De Re 
86 Katenko 
86 Lion na Bearnai 
86 Same Difference 
86 Saint Are 
86 Quinz 
85 Across The Bay 
85 Prince De Beauchene 
85 Monbeg Dude 
85 Night In Milan 
85 Theres no Panic 
79 Quito De La Roque 
78 Big Shu 
78 Tranquil Sea 
78 Any Currency 
77 Teaforthree 
77 Battle Group 
77 Twirling Magnet 
77 The Package 
77 Shakalakaboomboom 
77 Soll 
77 Wyck Hill 
77 Storm Survivor 
77 Tour Des Champs 
76 Sunnyhillboy 
76 Mountainous 
76 Alvarado 
70 Long Run 
69 Tidal Bay 
69 Triolo D'Alene 
69 Colbert Station 
69 Golan Way 
69 Alfie Sherrin 
68 Balthazar King 
68 Double Seven 
68 Kruzhlinin 
68 Gullible Gordon 
68 Victrix Gale 
67 Baile Anrai 
66 Last Time D'Albain 
66 Goonyella 
65 Out Now 
61 Wayward Prince 
61 Vintage Star 
61 Chance Du Roy 
60 Bog Warrior 
60 Buckers Bridge 
60 The Rainbow Hunter 
60 Lost Glory 
60 Court By Surprise 
59 Sir Du Bearn 
59 Merlins Wish 
58 Mr Moonshine 
58 One In A Milan 
53 Roi Du Mee 
53 Swing Bill 
52 Mossey Joe 
51 Rose Of The Moon 
51 Minella For Value 
51 Quiscover Fontaine 
51 Standing Ovation 
50 Hunt Ball 
45 Solix 
44 Our Father 
44 Hawkes Point 
42 Rocky Creek 
42 Vesper Bell 
41 Walkon 
34 Sergeant Pink 

Make what you will of these. It's far from all the Grand National work we'll be doing and I won't be backing anything yet based on these ratings. However, the top 4 may be of interest, and it could well be worth noting if something you had your eye on this far out is down the bottom half of the ratings.

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