Saturday, 5 July 2014

Coral Eclipse Trends Analysis

Stall


Draw
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
0
0%
1
6%
1
6%
2
15
5
33%
3
20%
8
53%
3
16
3
19%
1
6%
4
25%
4
16
1
6%
3
19%
4
25%
5
16
3
19%
2
13%
5
31%
6
13
1
8%
5
38%
6
46%
7
13
0
0%
4
31%
4
31%
8
11
3
27%
4
36%
7
64%
9
7
1
14%
1
14%
2
29%
10
4
0
0%
1
25%
1
25%
11
2
0
0%
2
100%
2
100%

We're interested in the horses drawn in stalls 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8 and 11.

Place Last Time Out


Place LTO
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
First
34
5
15%
12
35%
17
50%
Second
18
4
22%
5
28%
9
50%
Third
26
3
12%
4
15%
7
27%
Fourth
14
1
7%
3
21%
4
29%
Seventh
3
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

The focus here will be on horses which came 1st, 2nd or 4th on their last outing.

Market Position


Mrkt Pos
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
6
35%
5
29%
11
65%
2
19
4
21%
7
37%
11
58%
3
16
4
25%
5
31%
9
56%
4
18
1
6%
3
17%
4
22%
5
15
1
7%
2
13%
3
20%
6
16
0
0%
3
19%
3
19%
7
11
0
0%
1
9%
1
9%
8
10
1
10%
0
0%
1
10%
9
4
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
10
3
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
11
2
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

Points are rewarded to the top 3 in the market.

Recent Form


9 of the last 10 winners had 2-4 runs that season
9 of the last 10 winners had run in the last 30 days
10 of the last 10 winners had won a group 1 race
9 of the last 10 winners were having their first run at Sandown or were previously course winners

The Big Table


Horse
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
Total
The Fugue
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
5
Zambucca
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
4
Night Of Thunder
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
7
True Story
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
3
Trading Leather
Yes
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
3
Verrazano
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
5
War Command
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
6
Kingston Hill
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
7
Tullius
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
4
Somewhat
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
4
Mukhadram
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
4

So, we have our shortlist:

1.       Night Of Thunder 5/1, Kingston Hill 5/1 – 7
2.       War Command 12/1 – 6

And our bets:

“0.5pts e/w on Night Of Thunder @ 5/1” and “0.5pts e/w on Kingston Hill”


The very best of luck and remember only to bet what you can definitely afford to lose. Good luck!

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