Lennox Stakes Trends Analysis

Draw

Draw	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	14	2	14%	3	21%	5	36%
2	14	1	7%	3	21%	4	29%
3	12	1	8%	3	25%	4	33%
4	12	1	8%	0	0%	1	8%
5	13	3	23%	3	23%	6	46%
6	14	1	7%	5	36%	6	43%
7	13	2	15%	2	15%	4	31%
8	11	0	0%	1	9%	1	9%
9	12	2	17%	4	33%	6	50%

We’ll be looking out for those drawn in stalls 1, 3, 5, 6, 7 and 9.

Place Last Time Out

Place LTO	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
First	29	6	21%	7	24%	13	45%
Second	23	3	13%	3	13%	6	26%
Third	16	0	0%	2	13%	2	13%
Sixth	10	1	10%	1	10%	2	20%

We’re only interested here in the horses which won last time out.

Market Positions

Mrkt Pos	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	15	4	27%	6	40%	10	67%
2	14	5	36%	3	21%	8	57%
3	15	3	20%	1	7%	4	27%
4	12	0	0%	1	8%	1	8%
5	20	0	0%	3	15%	3	15%
6	10	1	10%	3	30%	4	40%
7	20	1	5%	3	15%	4	20%
8	8	0	0%	2	25%	2	25%

We’re focusing on the top 3 in the market, as well as 6^th.

Recent Form

9 of the last 10 winners had had 1-4 runs that season

Es Que Love and Professor don’t fit this trend

8 of the last 10 winners had won over 7f

Anjaal, Boom And Bust and Es Que Love don’t fit this trend

8 of the last 10 winners had won a group race

Amarillo, Garswood, Anjaal and Toormore fit this trend

7 of the last winners had won a class 1 race that year

Amarillo, Glory Awaits, Gregorian and Toormore fit this trend

The Big Table

Horse	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Total
Amarillo	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	6
Boom And Bust	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	No	3
Es Que Love	Yes	No	Yes	No	No	No	No	2
Garswood	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	4
Glory Awaits	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	5
Here Comes When	No	No	No	Yes	Yes	No	No	2
Anjaal	No	No	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	2
Toormore	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	6

So, we have our shortlist:

1.       Amarillo 10/1, Toormore 11/10 – 6

2.       Glory Awaits 14/1 – 5

And, so, with one of our two winners at a short price, this is a no-bet race for our trends analysis.