Saturday, 26 July 2014

King George VI And Queen Elizabeth Stakes Trends Analysis

Draw


Draw
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
1
6%
4
24%
5
29%
2
17
1
6%
2
12%
3
18%
3
16
4
25%
3
19%
7
44%
4
16
4
25%
2
13%
6
38%
5
17
2
12%
2
12%
4
24%
6
14
1
7%
4
29%
5
36%
7
14
1
7%
3
21%
4
29%
8
12
1
8%
4
33%
5
42%
9
7
0
0%
1
14%
1
14%

We'll be looking out for the horses drawn in stalls 1, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 8.

Place LTO


Place LTO
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
First
57
10
18%
13
23%
23
40%
Second
24
2
8%
7
29%
9
38%
Third
15
3
20%
2
13%
5
33%
Fifth
9
0
0%
2
22%
2
22%

Points are rewarded to horses for finishing in the top 3 on their last outing.

Market Positions


Mrkt Pos
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
8
47%
3
18%
11
65%
2
18
3
17%
8
44%
11
61%
3
16
0
0%
8
50%
8
50%
4
18
4
22%
4
22%
8
44%
5
20
1
5%
3
15%
4
20%
6
19
1
5%
1
5%
2
11%
7
10
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
8
11
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
9
6
0
0%
1
17%
1
17%


We'll be focusing on the top 4 in the market.

Recent Form


10 of the last 10 winners had had 2-4 runs so far that season
All of this year’s runners fit this trend
10 of the last 10 winners had run in the past 50 days
All of this year’s runners fit this trend
8 of the last 10 winners had won that season
Leitir Mor and Trading Leather do not fit this trend
8 of the last 10 winners had wo a group 1 or 2 race by 3 lengths or more
Magician, Telescope, Eagle Top and Taghrooda fit this trend
8 of the last 10 winners had won over 1m 4f
Telescope, Trading Leather, Eagle Top and Taghrooda fit this trend

The Big Table


Horse
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Total
Leitir Mor
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
3
Magician
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
7
Mukhadram
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
5
Telescope
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
7
Trading Leather
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
5
Eagle Top
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8
Romsdal
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
5
Taghrooda
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
7

So, we have our shortlist:
1.       Eagle Top 9/2 – 8
2.       Magician 5/1, Telescope 3/1, Taghrooda 10/3 – 7

And, our bet:

“0.5pts e/w on Eagle Top @ 9/2”


The very best of luck and remember, as always, only bet what you can afford to lose. Good luck!

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