Saturday, 2 May 2015

2000 Guineas Trends Analysis

  1. 10 of the last 10 winners were sired by a group 1 winner (or by Galileo or Montjeu)
  2. 8 of the last 10 winners won first time out as a 2yo
  3. 7 of the last 10 winners had run at least 3 times
  4. 9 of the last 10 winners had won at least twice
  5. 10 of the last 10 winners finished in the top 3 last time out
  6. 10 of the last 10 winners had run since August 1st
  7. 10 of the last 10 winners posted an RPR of 110+ last time out
  8. 8 of the last 10 winners had won a group race
  9. 8 of the last 10 winners had won over 7f or 8f


1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
Total
Bossy Guest
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
No
6
Cappella Sansevero
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
7
Celestial Path
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
8
Code Red
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
No
4
Dutch Connection
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
7
Estidhkaar
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8
Glenalmond
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
2
Gleneagles
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8
Hail The Hero
Yes
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
4
Home Of The Brave
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
6
Intilaaq
No
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
3
Ivawood
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
No
6
Kool Kompany
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8
Moheet
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
5
Ol Man River
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8
Ride Like The Wind
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
9
Room Key
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
4
Territories
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
8

So, our shortlist:
  1. Ride Like The Wind - 9
  2. Celestial Path, Estikhdaar, Gleneagles, Kool Kompany, Ol Man River, Territoris - 8

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