Saturday, 23 May 2015

Temple Stakes Trends Analysis

The focus will be on Ireland today but the big race in England is by no means a small one – the Temple Stakes attracts top sprinters on a yearly basis with multiple group winners contesting today’s race, including the winners of the last two renewals of the race, Hot Streak and Kingsgate Native.

1) Stall

Stall
Runners
Wins
W%
Places
P%
W/P
W/P%
1
10
2
20%
2
20%
4
40%
2
10
1
10%
2
20%
3
30%
3
8
2
25%
0
0%
2
25%
4
10
2
20%
3
30%
5
50%
5
7
1
14%
4
57%
5
71%
6
8
0
0%
3
38%
3
38%
7
9
1
11%
1
11%
2
22%
8
10
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
9
7
0
0%
1
14%
1
14%
10
9
1
11%
1
11%
2
22%
11
6
0
0%
2
33%
2
33%
12
7
0
0%
1
14%
1
14%
13
4
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
14
1
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
Stalls 1, 3, 4, 5, 6 and 11 seem to be the ones to watch out for. These are filled today by Take Cover, Jack Dexter, Justice Day, Pretend (non-runner), Wind Fire and Hot Streak respectively.

2) Place Last Time Out

Place LTO
Runners
Wins
W%
Places
P%
W/P
W/P%
1st
19
1
5%
4
21%
5
26%
2nd
21
3
14%
4
19%
7
33%
3rd
16
4
25%
3
19%
7
44%
4th
4
1
25%
1
25%
2
50%
5th
5
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
6th
7
1
14%
0
0%
1
14%
7th
6
0
0%
1
17%
1
17%
8th
9
0
0%
3
33%
3
33%
9th
3
0
0%
2
67%
2
67%
10th
2
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
11th
4
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
12th
1
0
0%
1
100%
1
100%
13th
3
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
14th
2
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
15th
2
0
0%
1
50%
1
50%
16th
1
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
Anything which finished in the top 4 should be noted, while horses which finished 8th, 9th, 12th and 15th have also done well in the last 10 years. The majority of the field were in the top 4 last time out – Danzeno was 2nd, Goldream 1st, Great Minds 1st, Hot Streak 3rd, Jack Dexter 3rd, Kingsgate Native 3rd. Pearl Secret was 8th and G Force was 15th.

10-Year Trends

3) 9 of the last 10 winners had won over 5f
Danzeno is the only runner today who doesn’t have a distance win to his name

4) 7 of the last 10 winners had won a listed or group sprint
All of this year’s runners fit this trend

5) 8 of the last 10 winners (and a further 12 of the 20 placers) came from the top 4 in the market
The top 4 in the market this year are Hot Streak, Danzeno, G Force and Goldream

The Big Table

1
2
3
4
5
Total
G Force
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Danzeno
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
3
Goldream
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Great Minds
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
3
Hot Streak
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
5
Jack Dexter
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4
Justice Day
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
3
Kingsgate Native
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
3
Pearl Secret
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
3
Take Cover
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
3
Wind Fire
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
3
So, it’s a tight one but last year’s winner Hot Streak does come out on top.

SELECTION: HOT STREAK EACH-WAY 9/2

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