Thursday, 19 June 2014

Ascot Gold Cup Trends Analysis

Draw


Draw
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
16
2
13%
2
13%
4
25%
2
16
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
3
17
2
12%
4
24%
6
35%
4
16
2
13%
3
19%
5
31%
5
16
3
19%
0
0%
3
19%
6
17
0
0%
2
12%
2
12%
7
16
1
6%
2
13%
3
19%
8
17
2
12%
2
12%
4
24%
9
15
1
7%
4
27%
5
33%
10
14
0
0%
3
21%
3
21%
11
14
1
7%
2
14%
3
21%
12
13
1
8%
2
15%
3
23%
13
10
1
10%
1
10%
2
20%
14
8
0
0%
1
13%
1
13%
15
6
0
0%
2
33%
2
33%

Points will be awarded to horses drawn in stalls 1, 3, 4, 5, 9 and 15.

Place Last Time Out


Place LTO
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
First
47
9
19%
7
15%
16
34%
Second
34
2
6%
8
24%
10
29%
Third
30
2
7%
3
10%
5
17%
Fifth
14
0
0%
1
7%
1
7%
Sixth
26
1
4%
4
15%
5
19%
Seventh
10
0
0%
1
10%
1
10%

We’ll be looking out for horses who finished in the top two last time out.

Market Positions


Mrkt Pos
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
7
41%
2
12%
9
53%
2
17
3
18%
6
35%
9
53%
3
18
1
6%
7
39%
8
44%
4
18
2
11%
4
22%
6
33%
5
21
1
5%
4
19%
5
24%
6
16
0
0%
3
19%
3
19%
7
18
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
8
25
2
8%
1
4%
3
12%
9
12
1
8%
2
17%
3
25%
10
12
0
0%
3
25%
3
25%
11
16
0
0%
1
6%
1
6%
12
9
0
0%
1
11%
1
11%
13
9
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
14
3
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
15
9
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

We’re going to focus on the top 3 in the market, as well as 10th in the market.

Recent Form


9 of the last 10 winners had 1-3 runs that year
8 of the last 10 winners had run in the past 55 days
8 of the last 10 winners had run over 2m+

The Big Table


Horse
1
2
3
4
5
6
Total
Altano
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
5
Ralston Road
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
2
Shwaiman
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
4
Brown Panther
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
6
Oriental Fox
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Estimate
No
No
Yes
No
No
Yes
2
Ahzeemah
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
3
Saddlers Rock
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Missunited
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Havana Beat
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
2
Tac De Boistron
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Royal Diamond
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4
Leading Light
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
5
Simenon
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
4

So, we have our shortlist:

1.       Brown Panther 7/1 – 6
2.       Leading Light evens, Altano 12/1 – 5

And out bet:
“0.5pts e/w on Brown Panther @ 7/1”


The very best of luck and be sure not to bet more than you can afford to lose.

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