Prince Of Wales' Stakes Trends Analysis

A good day for the trends analysis yesterday, beginning with 6/1 place money with Verrazano, who came home 2^nd behind Toronado in the Queen Anne Stakes, and followed up by Kingman who bolted up in the St James Palace. Today, there will be just one trends analysis race – the Prince Of Wales. Hopefully the Royal Ascot profits will continue!

Stall

Stall	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	17	1	6%	1	6%	2	12%
2	15	5	33%	2	13%	7	47%
3	17	2	12%	3	18%	5	29%
4	16	2	13%	4	25%	6	38%
5	17	1	6%	5	29%	6	35%
6	16	2	13%	3	19%	5	31%
7	16	2	13%	5	31%	7	44%

We’ll be looking out for horses drawn in stalls 2, 5 and 7.

Place Last Time Out

Place LTO	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
Second	19	1	5%	5	26%	6	32%
Third	18	0	0%	4	22%	4	22%
Fourth	13	1	8%	2	15%	3	23%

We’re giving points to any horse which finished 2^nd on its last outing.

Market Position

Mrkt Pos	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	18	6	33%	5	28%	11	61%
2	18	5	28%	6	33%	11	61%
3	18	4	22%	6	33%	10	56%
4	15	1	7%	2	13%	3	20%
5	19	0	0%	3	16%	3	16%
6	21	0	0%	3	14%	3	14%
7	10	1	10%	1	10%	2	20%

The focus is on the top three in the market for this race.

Recent Form

10 of the last 10 winners ran in a group 1 over 1m 1f – 1m 4f last time out

9 of the last 10 winners had won a group 1

10 of the last 10 winners had won over 1m 2f+

The Big Table

Horse	1	2	3	4	5	6	Total
Mukhadram	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	4
Treve	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	6
Zambucca	No	No	No	Yes	No	Yes	2
Elkaayed	No	No	No	No	No	Yes	1
Parish Hall	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	4
Dank	No	No	No	Yes	No	Yes	2
The Fugue	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	4
Magician	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	5

So, we have our shortlist:

1.       Treve 8/11 – 6

2.       Magician 6/1 – 5

And our bet:

“1pt win on Treve @ 8/11”