Monday, 16 June 2014

Queen Anne Stakes Trends Analysis

The Royal Ascot meeting will kick off in style at 2.30 on Tuesday with the Group 1 Queen Anne Stakes for older milers. Declaration Of War won the race last year, with US raider Animal Kingdom disappointing as 5/4 favourite. The years prior to this were filled with class names, most notably with the victory of the mighty Frankel in 2012, sealing his reputation as the greatest ever. Will this year throw up a big surprise or an incredible performance? What we do know is that the Queen Anne is a fantastic opening act for a thrilling week of racing, so sit back, relax and let the action unfold.

Stall

Draw
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
17
3
18%
4
24%
7
41%
2
17
3
18%
1
6%
4
24%
3
16
1
6%
3
19%
4
25%
4
16
1
6%
1
6%
2
13%
5
16
0
0%
3
19%
3
19%
6
17
2
12%
4
24%
6
35%
7
17
3
18%
4
24%
7
41%
8
16
2
13%
3
19%
5
31%
9
13
0
0%
4
31%
4
31%
10
11
1
9%
4
36%
5
45%
11
8
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
12
3
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
13
2
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

We'll be looking out for horses which run from stalls 1, 2, 6, 7, 9 or 10.

Place Last Time Out


Place LTO
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
First
50
6
12%
9
18%
15
30%
Second
21
2
10%
6
29%
8
38%
Third
26
1
4%
9
35%
10
38%
Fourth
14
3
21%
0
0%
3
21%
Fifth
16
1
6%
1
6%
2
13%
Sixth
11
2
18%
2
18%
4
36%
Seventh
5
0
0%
1
20%
1
20%

Points go to horses which finished in the top 4 or 6th last time out.

Market Position

Mrkt Pos
Runs
Wins
Win%
Places
Place%
Win/Place
Win/Place%
1
18
3
17%
4
22%
7
39%
2
21
7
33%
7
33%
14
67%
3
14
2
14%
3
21%
5
36%
4
16
4
25%
2
13%
6
38%
5
19
0
0%
6
32%
6
32%
6
19
1
5%
7
37%
8
42%
7
16
0
0%
2
13%
2
13%
8
16
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
9
10
0
0%
1
10%
1
10%
10
10
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
11
6
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%
12
6
0
0%
0
0%
0
0%

We'll pay special attention to second, fourth, fith and sixth in the market.

Recent Form


10 of the last 10 winners had between 7 and 17 career starts
9 of the last 10 winners had run in the past 40 days
9 of the last 10 winners had won over 1m to 1m 1f
9 of the last 10 winners had won a group 1 race
9 of the last 10 winners had one or two runs that season

The Big Table


Horse
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
Total
Anodin
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
5
Ansgar
Yes
Yes
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
5
Glory Awaits
Yes
No
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
3
Mull Of Killough
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
4
Producer
No
Yes
No
No
No
Yes
No
No
2
Side Glance
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
5
Soft Falling Rain
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
4
Toronado
No
Yes
No
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
4
Tullius
Yes
Yes
Yes
No
Yes
Yes
No
No
5
Verrazano
No
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
Yes
7

So, we have our shortlist:
1.       Verrazano 4/1 – 7
2.       Anodin, Ansgar, Side Glance, Tullius – 5
And our bet:

“0.5pts e/w on Verrazano @ 4/1”

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