Coronation Cup Trends Analysis

Stall

Stall	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	16	2	13%	4	25%	6	38%
2	16	3	19%	4	25%	7	44%
3	17	4	24%	4	24%	8	47%
4	17	2	12%	1	6%	3	18%
5	16	2	13%	3	19%	5	31%
6	13	0	0%	2	15%	2	15%
7	7	1	14%	1	14%	2	29%
8	5	2	40%	1	20%	3	60%

We're looking out for horses drawn in stalls 1, 2, 3 and 8.

Place Last Time Out

Place LTO	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
First	38	6	16%	9	24%	15	39%
Third	20	3	15%	6	30%	9	45%
Fourth	11	0	0%	1	9%	1	9%
Fifth	5	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Seventh	6	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
Eighth	1	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%

We only want horses which came in the top 3 last time out.

Market Position

Mrkt Pos	Runs	Wins	Win%	Places	Place%	Win/Place	Win/Place%
1	17	7	41%	5	29%	12	71%
2	19	3	16%	9	47%	12	63%
3	17	3	18%	4	24%	7	41%
4	18	3	17%	1	6%	4	22%
5	15	1	7%	1	7%	2	13%
6	12	0	0%	1	8%	1	8%
7	10	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%
8	4	0	0%	0	0%	0	0%

We're going to keep an eye out for the top 3 in the market.

Recent Form

9 of the last 10 winners had 1-3 runs that season

8 of the last 10 winners ran in the past 35 days

9 of the last 10 winners won over 1m 4f+

8 of the last 10 winners had won a group 1

The Big Table

Horse	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	Total
Batallion	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	4
Cirrus Des Aigles	No	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	5
Empoli	Yes	No	No	Yes	No	No	Yes	3
Flintshire	No	No	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	3
Joshua Tree	No	No	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	3
Ambivalent	No	Yes	No	Yes	Yes	Yes	Yes	5
Beacon Lady	Yes	Yes	No	Yes	No	Yes	No	4
Talent	Yes	Yes	Yes	No	No	Yes	Yes	5

So, we have our shortlist:

1.       Cirrus Des Aigles 5/4, Ambivalent 12/1, Talent 8/1

Therefore, there’s no clear winner and it’s a race best left alone as far as the trends analysis is concerned!