Treve was unsuccessful for our trends analysis yesterday and
although we are still in profit with our Ascot trends analysis bets, success
today would be highly welcome. We begin with the Ribblesdale Stakes…
Draw
|
Draw
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
1
|
17
|
0
|
0%
|
3
|
18%
|
3
|
18%
|
|
2
|
16
|
1
|
6%
|
3
|
19%
|
4
|
25%
|
|
3
|
17
|
2
|
12%
|
4
|
24%
|
6
|
35%
|
|
4
|
17
|
2
|
12%
|
5
|
29%
|
7
|
41%
|
|
5
|
17
|
1
|
6%
|
5
|
29%
|
6
|
35%
|
|
6
|
16
|
3
|
19%
|
2
|
13%
|
5
|
31%
|
|
7
|
15
|
0
|
0%
|
4
|
27%
|
4
|
27%
|
|
8
|
16
|
1
|
6%
|
2
|
13%
|
3
|
19%
|
|
9
|
17
|
2
|
12%
|
2
|
12%
|
4
|
24%
|
|
10
|
12
|
1
|
8%
|
2
|
17%
|
3
|
25%
|
|
11
|
8
|
2
|
25%
|
1
|
13%
|
3
|
38%
|
|
12
|
8
|
1
|
13%
|
0
|
0%
|
1
|
13%
|
The horses we’ll be looking out for will be the ones drawn
in stalls 3, 4, 5, 6, 7 and 11.
Place Last Time
Out
|
Place LTO
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
First
|
71
|
8
|
11%
|
17
|
24%
|
25
|
35%
|
|
Second
|
26
|
3
|
12%
|
6
|
23%
|
9
|
35%
|
|
Third
|
24
|
1
|
4%
|
8
|
33%
|
9
|
38%
|
|
Fourth
|
15
|
1
|
7%
|
0
|
0%
|
1
|
7%
|
|
Fifth
|
10
|
0
|
0%
|
1
|
10%
|
1
|
10%
|
|
Fourteenth
|
1
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
We’re particularly interested in horses which finished in
the top 3 on their last outing.
Market Position
|
Mrkt Pos
|
Runs
|
Wins
|
Win%
|
Places
|
Place%
|
Win/Place
|
Win/Place%
|
|
1
|
19
|
4
|
21%
|
9
|
47%
|
13
|
68%
|
|
2
|
17
|
4
|
24%
|
2
|
12%
|
6
|
35%
|
|
3
|
19
|
2
|
11%
|
1
|
5%
|
3
|
16%
|
|
4
|
16
|
0
|
0%
|
4
|
25%
|
4
|
25%
|
|
5
|
16
|
3
|
19%
|
8
|
50%
|
11
|
69%
|
|
6
|
19
|
0
|
0%
|
2
|
11%
|
2
|
11%
|
|
7
|
18
|
0
|
0%
|
3
|
17%
|
3
|
17%
|
|
8
|
16
|
2
|
13%
|
2
|
13%
|
4
|
25%
|
|
9
|
17
|
2
|
12%
|
1
|
6%
|
3
|
18%
|
|
10
|
5
|
0
|
0%
|
1
|
20%
|
1
|
20%
|
|
11
|
9
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
0
|
0%
|
The top 3 and the 5th in the market stand out as
the most successful over the past 17 years.
Recent Form
9 of the last 10 winners had 2 or 3 runs that year
10 of the last 10 winners had run in the past 55 days
9 of the last 10 winners had won over 1m 2f+
The Big Table
|
Horse
|
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
5
|
6
|
Total
|
|
Bright Approach
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
4
|
|
Talmada
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
4
|
|
Bracelet
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
4
|
|
Wonderstruck
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
Terrific
|
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
3
|
|
Emaratiya Ana
|
Yes
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
3
|
|
Criteria
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
Lustrous
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
3
|
|
Final Score
|
No
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
4
|
|
Vazira
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
Inchila
|
Yes
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
5
|
|
Nancy From Nairobi
|
No
|
No
|
No
|
Yes
|
Yes
|
No
|
2
|
So, we have our shortlist:
1.
Wonderstruck 8/1, Criteria 25/1, Vazira 10/1,
Inchila 6/1 – 5
And so, obviously this will have to be a no-bet race.
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