Sunday, 20 April 2014

Irish Grand National Race Ratings

Our National Ratings resulted in some nice profits at Aintree when Pineau De Re, 25/1 winner of the Crabbies Grand National, came out in the top few in the ratings and was tipped by us. This was followed with the Scottish National at Ayr, a much less successful ordeal in which the 40/1 winner was actually in the bottom half of our ratings.

It's Easter Monday, though, and so our attention shifts to the other side of the Irish Sea and to Fairyhouse, where the Irish Grand National takes place. We've done our ratings once again. Just to reiterate what we've said in the past about these unique ratings: They're based on the horse's suitability to the race, rather than the actual talent of the horse. So, we're not rating the horse based on its past performances - we'll leave that up to the handicapper. This is based on the particular profile of the horse and its preparation for the race.

Horse Total
Folsom Blue 94.4
Sraid Padraig 93.6
Rich Revival 93.6
Gallant Oscar 92
Rogue Angel 88.8
Daring Article 88.8
Heaney 87.2
Tammys Hill 85.6
Mr Murphy 84.8
Mullaghanoe River 82.4
Clar Na Miam 82.4
Goonyella 81.6
Cantlow 78.4
Make A Track 78.4
Alfie Sherrin 77.6
Touch The Eden 76.8
Toon River 76
Golden Wonder 74.4
Los Amigos 74.4
The Westerner Boy 74.4
Letter Of Credit 73.6
Cause Of Causes 72.8
Oscars Well 72.8
Home Farm 67.2
Shutthefrontdoor 64.8
Jamsie Hall 64
Saoirse Dun 62.4
Pendra 59.2
Lion Na Bearnai 54.4
Away We Go 31.2

It's no surprise to see that it's tight at the top, and just to get a clearer picture, we "narrowed down" the ratings (let's call them the version two of the ratings) by taking points away from some horses and adding points to others based on more specific criteria:

Horse Total
Rich Revival 109.6
Heaney 103.2
Sraid Padraig 101.6
Gallant Oscar 100
Folson Blue 94.4
So, we have the top four from our original ratings, as well as another horse who moves up significantly when the ratings are "narrowed down" (Heaney).

Our actual preview and selections for the race will be up soon, but these are the horses who we will most likely be working around.

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