Thursday, 1 May 2014

Punchestown Champion Hurdle Preview & Selections

Day 3 of Cheltenham gave us a loss and showed just how trappy this meeting, though fantastic, can be! Yesterday’s favourites and co-favourites came 9th, 12th, 21st, 22nd, 4th, 5th, 2nd, 15th, 6th, 3rd, and 4th on what was a day to forget for jolly-backers.

As for us, we picked up a place in the La Touche Cup with Uncle Junior coming from  nowhere to finish 3rd at 11/2. Duke Of Lucca seemed to take to the banks well and travelled and jumped brilliantly throughout – he looked like a bit of  shoe-in in-running according to the exchanges, but ended up a disappointing 5th. And Bishopsfurze was, as we warned, unpredictable and didn’t run to his potential.

In the big one, our 12/1 e/w selection, Bog Warrior was a non-runner. With the race won by a 20/1 outsider, and Quevega, At Fishers Cross, and Fingal Bay not running quite as well as may have been expected, I really think Bog Warrior could have given them all a run for their money. We were of course then watching the race from a neutral perspective as far as betting was concerned, and it would have been brilliant to see wonder-mare Quevega finish off a wonderful career with a win at Punchestown. Full credit must go, however, to Jetson, who gave a brave run in front, and Davy Russell, who got the ride just perfect.

Gods Own was the 25/1 winner of the Grade 1 Ryanair Novices Chase, followed home by a 20/1 shot and then our selection, Balder Success. Our each-way bet, on the other hand, came 5th after running well most of the way around.

Today, though, is the big day. From the start of the festival, the clash of Hurricane Fly and Jezki has been billed as the race of the week, with Jessica Harrington’s up-and-coming Champion Hurdle winner facing off against arguably the best two-mile hurdler of all time (arguably – let’s not get into that). To top it off, just over half an hour after we witness this supposed Clash of the Titans, possibly the most exciting horse from Cheltenham, Vautour makes an appearance in the Grade 1 Tattersalls Ireland Champion Novice Hurdle.

Moving on, then, as always, to the racing….

5.30 – Punchestown Champion Hurdle – 2m – Grade 1


This has been billed as the race of the festival for a long time now, with record-breaking Grade 1 winner Hurricane Fly, having dominated not only this particular race but all of the two-mile hurdling division for so long, being challenged by Jessica Harrington’s 2014 Champion Hurdler, Jezki.

Old Kings versus new pretenders, classic heroes versus rising stars, this race should in theory have everything that National Hunt racing is renowned for – the same stalwarts of the game returning each year, while exciting new prospects come bursting onto the scene, perhaps unexpectedly as may have been the case for Jezki’s Champion Hurdle win.

But first, the mighty Fly. Hurricane Fly is one of the true characters of Willie Mullins’ yard, who seems to have been there forever, who has a great talent and also a great attitude, and who is admired and supported constantly by his loyal fan base. The Fly is one of those horses which don’t come around too often which manage to capture the imagination of not only the racing public, but of a whole country which gets behind this star hurdler every time he runs.

However, at Cheltenham his vocal supporters were silenced when Jessica Harrington’s 6yo Jezki, ridden by Barry Geraghty, won the Champion Hurdle, with My Tent Or Yours and The New One directly behind him and Hurricane Fly reduced to just fourth. With Jezki running immaculately, The New One being badly hampered and recovering brilliantly, and My Tent Or Yours finishing very well considering how keenly he ran, Hurricane Fly was a definite fourth-best.

Supporters will point out that he has won this race for the last four consecutive years, but I would be quick to caution you that, although he ran off the back of Cheltenham defeat in 2012, he had in my book run to a career best in either his last or second last start before Punchestown, a feat which he has not managed to repeat this year. His runs this season haven’t been to quite the same standard as we’ve been lucky enough to see over the past few years from Hurricane Fly. Although the Cheltenham run can perhaps be discounted due to fast ground, the other starts these season (despite the fact that they were wins) lacked something the Fly has had in past years.

Jezki, on the other hand, comes in to this race off the back of what was undoubtedly a career best performance in the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham. All of the talk surrounding how unlucky The New One was having been hampered by the fallen Our Conor has taken away slightly from Jezki’s run – he quite simply did nothing wrong and it’s hard to find any chinks in his armour.

The ground won’t be as fast today as it was at Prestbury Park the month before last, but Jezki will be in no way disadvantaged by soft ground – in fact, the official going description is Good to Yielding, on which ground he is 2 wins from 2 runs in the past. He is one from one on good to soft, one from one on yielding, and one from two on good ground, perfectly demonstrating how versatile this horse is.

Jezki also has nothing to be afraid of regarding the fact that Hurricane Fly is a course specialist (8 wins from 9 runs) with a win from his only past race at the track only a good sign. He is also four from four on right-handed tracks and four from four on undulating tracks such as Punchestown.

Admittedly, and this is to take nothing away from the Champion McCoy, I was disappointed to see that he had replaced Barry Geraghty, who is currently in fine form, on board Jezki, after choosing to overlook him in the Champion Hurdle at Cheltenham. Jezki has a 100% record with Geraghty on his back, with five wins from five runs.

The theory that Hurricane Fly will have come on for the Cheltenham run doesn’t mean much to me. He ran his final race before the festival in February and has made plenty of course appearances this year already. Jezki, on the other hand, seemed to come to life when he came to Punchestown last year, reversing the form with the 2013 Supreme winner Champagne Fever by beating him in the Herald Champion Novice Hurdle.

Soon after the death of her husband Johnny, it’s wonderful to see that Jessica Harrington in form at the moment – and it would be even better if Jezki could top off his Champion Hurdle win with one in the Punchestown Champion Hurdle.

1 – Jezki
2 – Hurricane Fly
3 – Steps To Freedom

Jezki EVENS* (NAP)

*Be sure to get Best Odds Guaranteed.

Elsewhere today, the tank that is Vautour runs after his Supreme form has been franked in style by the horses he made short work of in the opening race of the Cheltenham festival. He’s undoubtedly the most likely winner today but I won’t be betting at 1/3 in a race in which I wouldn’t put you off a bet on any of the runners (except maybe for Noble Emperor). Yes, Vautour is worth watching, but I’m going to leave this race watched today, even if I do have massive faith in the horse.


As always, the very best of luck and only bet what you can afford to lose. Jezki is, by the way, a festival bet and the NAP of the day.

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